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HomeMy WebLinkAbout1991-03-13 - AGENDA REPORTS - GP TRAFFIC MODELING (2)AGENDA REPORT City Manager Item to be presented 'b`y:. " CONSENT CALENDAR DATE: March 13, 1991 SUBJECT: General Plan Traffic Modeling DEPARTMENT: Community Development BACKGROUND: In November, 1990 the General Plan Advisory Committee transmitted to the City Council the preliminary draft General Plan with the exception of the Circulation Element and a final review of the Land Use Element. It was determined at that time that additional traffic modeling work was necessary in order to arrive at a satisfactory circulation plan and complete the Circulation Element. The primary General Plan consultant, Michael Brandman Associates, had retained the sub -consultant services of Kunzman Associates to assist in the preparation of the Circulation Element and the necessary traffic modeling work. Due to staffing reorganization and other difficulties, Michael Brandman Associates has now retained the services of another traffic consultant firm, KHR Associates. This traffic consultant firm has reviewed all materials relative to the draft Circulation Element and has produced a revised draft Circulation Element which is currently being reviewed by City staff. This firm, however, does not do computerized traffic modeling work and Michael Brandman Associates had been unable to secure the services of a traffic consultant firm to conduct this task. In order to move forward, therefore, the City Attorney and the Community Development Director have determined that it is necessary to directly contract with a qualified traffic consultant firm to complete the traffic modeling effort. We have.been in contact with the firm of DKS Associates of Los Angeles who is a well known traffic engineering firm and the authors and copyright holders of the TRANPLAN computer model. In the interest of time, work has already begun on the modeling. The attached contract for traffic modeling services has been prepared by DRS Associates and the Community Development Department and is now ready for execution by the City. The contract provides for review of existing previously produced traffic modeling efforts, assignment of traffic generated from the land uses on the draft 'General Plan onto the future highway network, analysis of circulation deficiencies and analysis of three additional traffic model alternatives for an initial fee ceiling of $28,000.00. APPEOVjAgenda Item;� General Plan Traffic Modeling March 13, 1991 Page 2 The contract indicates that the first three tasks can be accomplished within a six week time frame but that the duration of the fourth task, which analyzes traffic model alternatives, will depend on the number of alternatives to be tested. Following review and receipt of the traffic modeling work, a meeting will be scheduled with the General Plan Advisory Committee (GPAC) for their recommendation on the master circulation plan and any refinements necessary to the Land Use Map. The Planning Commission will then be able to complete their review of all General Plan elements and transmit their recommendation to the City Council. We now anticipate that the beginning of City Council hearings will occur in May. A copy of the new proposed schedule for General Plan adoption is attached. At least a portion of the work contemplated in this contract is currently contracted for and is the responsibility of the primary General Plan consultant, Michael Brandman Associates. Further, the need for supplemental studies as an outgrowth of preparation of the General Plan was anticipated in the budget and, therefore, no additional appropriation of funds is requested for this contract. RECOMMENDATION: It is recommended that the City Council authorize the City Manager to execute the contract between DKS Associates and the City of Santa Clarita for General Plan traffic modeling services. ATTACHMENT: Proposed Contract Proposed Schedule L14H:CLT:1f:240 Associates 411 West Fifth Street Suite 500 Los Angeles, CA 90013 12 731 527 0419 February 19, 1991 Mr. Ed Cline Traffic Engineer City of Santa Clarita 23920 Valencia Blvd., Suite 300 Santa Clarita, CA 91355 RE: City of Santa Clarita Modeling Services Dear Mr. Cline: A91x1016 It was a pleasure meeting with you, Ms. Harris and Ms. Trinkley on Thursday, February 14. We appreciate your consideration of DKS Associates to assist the City of Santa Clarita and the transportation consultant for the Circulation Element of the General Plan to interpret the City's • TRANPLAN travel demand model and to produce traffic forecasts required for the General Plan. Development of a Citywide travel demand model involves a significant amount of work. In the case of Santa Clarita's model, based on a review of the provided material, it appears that an appropriate framework.has been established. In addition to the task at hand (General Plan requirements), this model can be a valuable tool for your City's future transportation infrastructure planning given the proper care, appropriate input and correct interpretation of results to produce defensible forecasts.. In'the interest of your immediate needs, however, the following proposed scope of services is designed to provide you with a fast -tracked effort which involves a quick review and interpretation of the existing model and development of traffic forecasts related to the general plan circulation element work. Task 1 ' Review of Existing TRANPLAN Model Structure and the Existing Validation Run. Model structure and job stream setups will be reviewed for data input, trip generation, trip distribution, including external/internal and external/external travel definitions, and traffic assignment procedures. The results of the existing base -year validation run will be examined. By focusing on the worst calibrated screenlines and problem areas, obvious errors and/or problems will be identified and corrected. Adjustments may be made to trip generation rates, facility capacities and/or speed assumptions, centroid connectors, cordon value assumptions, land use input data, or others. In the interest of time,. no new major model validation effort will be performed. Results of the review and details of any adjustments implemented will . be documented in a technical memorandum. Mr. Ed Cline February 19, 1991 Page 2, Task 2 Future Base -Year Assignment. This is the future no -build scenario. A model run will be performed based on the proposed general plan land useand the existing plus funded (committed) future highway network scenario. It is assumed that City staff, and Circulation Element consultants (KHR) will provide information on the land use forecasts for trip generation input (digitized land use quantities by zone) and future base network assumptions. DKS will code the network to reflect the future scenario and will input land use information to produce traffic assignments. Results will be presented to the City in the form of computer plots and traffic assignment outputs showing link volumes, speeds; volume/capacity ratios and systemwide variables such as total vehicle miles traveled, delay and miles of congestion. Task 3 Analysis of Circulation Deficiencies. With assistance from KHR, DKS will identify future problem areas and "hot spots" as well as circulation and capacity deficiencies on the base network as a result of the forecast land use growth without the corresponding transportation improvements. Potential alternative solutions to capacity problems will be identified for consideration. The solutions may include. circulation system improvements, new road connections, as well as capacity additions on the existing facilities, or other non-physical mitigation measures such as trip reduction strategies including land use intensity reductions or travel demand management policy recommendations. With consideration for physical, environmental or other constraints, a series of specific system improvements will be recommended for testing in alternative model runs. Results of this task will be documented in a technical memorandum accompanied with maps indicating specific facility improvement needs to be tested. Task 4 Analysis of Alternative Scenarios. Using the results of the previous task, and with input from the GPAC, other consultants and City staff, a number of alternative improved systems will be designed. Specific facility improvements will be grouped into a selected number of logical packages and corresponding networks will be coded for modeling. Traffic forecasts will be produced through the TRANPLAN model runs. For budgeting purposes a total of 3 network and land use combination scenarios are assumed. Results of this task will be presented in a technical memorandum detailing the outcome of the model runs complete with facility and systemwide characteristics and accompanying plots and figures. Upon receipt of a signed agreement, DKS will begin work on this project on Monday, February 25. The first three tasks can be accomplished within six weeks from the start of the project, provided that all land use and network input data is supplied to DKS by Monday, February 25. Duration of task 4 will depend on the number of alternatives to be tested. DKS will participate at City Council, GPAC and Planning Commission meetings to make presentations and discuss the results (a maximum of six formal meetings are budgeted), and will participate at other project progress meetings with City staff as required Mr. Ed Cline February 19, 1991 Page 3 In consideration of the performance of these services, DKS Associates will be compensated on a time and materials basis in accordance with the hourly billing rates set forth in the attached fee schedule, subject to revision June 1, 1991. Based on a review of the material provided to us, we have developed a preliminary assessment of the required level of effort to accomplish each task as reflected in the attached table. We are proposing to establish an initial fee ceiling of $28,000 covering the four tasks.This fee includes the cost of.all related technical and administrative services as well as attending all meetings. Cost of Task 4 will depend upon the number of alternative scenarios to be tested. For budgeting purposes it has been assumed that a total of three scenarios will be tested. It should be noted that this order of magnitude cost estimate was developed prior to a more detailed examination of the model structure and specifics. It is, therefore, based on a typical level of effort required for similar projects. Following the review of the model structure and completion of Task 1, we would like to develop a revised cost estimate for tasks 2 and 3 and a more detailed cost estimate for each scenario for task 4. DKS will invoice you every four weeks based upon the time and materials expended Payments are due on a net 30 day basis. A service charge of the lesser of 1-1/4% per month or the maximum allowable by law will be assessed on billings not paid when due. • Should the work not be authorized in thirty (30) days; or should changes occur in the work scope or level of effort; or should the completion date extend beyond the date stated above due to circumstances beyond DKS's control; we reserve the right to revise the work scope, budget and schedule to reflect current conditions. Such revisions will be effected through mutually agreed upon 'amendments' or 'modifications' to this agreement. Sincerely, Approved By DKS ASSOCIATES City of Santa Clarita A California Corporation Leo K. Lee, PE, Principal By: Director of Los Angeles Operations Viggen Davidian, PE Title Date Assistant Director of Los. Angeles Operations • 1 • Proposed Budget City of Santa Clarita Travel De®rd Modeling Services Labor Costs 1.0 Model Structure and Validation Run Rev 2.0 Future "No Build" Model Run 3.0 Analyze System Deficiencies 4.0 Testing of Alternative Systems Meetings and Presentations Direct Costs Computer Travel Other Subtotal 10% on CDC Total ODC Grind Total Cost Estimate 20 -Feb -91 Estimated Hours by Staff Person Hourly Rate* 100 1 70 1 50 1 55 Total Hours Total Budget S[aff person Devi di Pari Chou Supp't ieu 16 24 24 8 72 4,920 10 16 16 8 50 3,360 10 16 16 8 50 3,360 24 48 48 8 128 8,600 16 16 16 8 56 3,960 76 120 120 40 356 $24,200 1,694 500 1,200 3,394 339 $3,733 527,933 0 0 0 DKS Associates Fee Schedule Effective June 1, 1990 through June 1, 1991 ENGINEERS and PL4NNERS Hourly Rate Grade 1 $ 40.00 Grade 2 .......................... 80.00 Grade 3 50.00 Grade 455.00 ... .... ,,.._........ ... ......... Grade 5 60.00 Grade..6......._.................._..._.. ..._.........I............65A0 Grade 7 70.00 Grade -8....................... ..................................... ..... . 75.00 Grade 9 80.00 Grade 10 ............... .................................................................................... 85.00 Grade 11 90.00 Grade12 95.00 _ ......._..._ ..........,........_........................................... Grade 13 100.00 Grade 14 105.00 Grade 15 . 110.00 Grade 16..........................................115.00 ....................................... Hourly Rate Grade 17 120.00 Grade 18125.00 ...................................................................................................... ...................... Grade 19 130.00 Grade 20 135.00 TECHNICIANS and SUPPORT STAFF Tech._Level _H ................................................_55.00 Hourly Rate Tech Level A $ 20.00 Tech_Level... ............................. ...................... Tech Level C 30.00 Tech_I.e.%el.. D......., . __ .................._.......... 35.00 Tech Level E 40.00 Tech Level F ..............................................0. 45. 0 Tech Level G 50.00 Tech._Level _H ................................................_55.00 Tech Level I 60.00 Tech.. Level J .......................................................................... 65.00 Tech Level K 70.00 Tech Level ..L ............._........_......._.._............75.00 I........I............... . Tech Level M 80.00 Project expenses will be billed at cost plus ten percent for service and handling. Project expenses include project -related costs such as transportation, subsistence, reproduction, postage, telephone, computer charges and subcontractor services. All invoices are due and payable within 30 days of date of invoice. Invoices oustanding over 30 days will be assessed a 1'/. percent service charge, not to exceed the maximum allowable by law, for each 30 days outstanding beyond the initial payment period. Service charges are not included in any agreement for maximum charges. Expert witness charges are available on request. Revised OSMSM - OKSSFfeWA • 0 0 GENERAL PLAN ADOPTION DRAFT PROPOSED .SCHEDULE February 28, 1991 DATE ACTIVITY 03/05/91 P.C. continued hearing on General Plan. - Public Services, Facilities and Utilities Element - Preliminary overview and testimony on Land Use Element Overview of Growth Management issues, relationship to General Plan 03/19/91 PC continued hearing on General Plan. - Land Use Element text - Economic Development and Community Revitalization Element PC hillside Study Session (tentative). 03/20/91 Open forum, Growth Management. (StaffHost) 03/28/91 PC public hearing. - Land Use Element, text and map - Ridgeline Preservation and Hillside Development Ordinance. 04/02/91 PC continued hearing on General Plan. - Consider unresolved/outstanding items - Finalize direction to a taff on all elements except Land Use and Circulation 04/24/91 GPAC deeting to review Circulation and Land Use Elements with modelling results. 04/25/91 PC continued public hearing. - Receive GPAC recommendation and finalize recommendation on Circulation and Land Use Elements - Finalize/confirm recommendations - All previously recommended changes incorporated into draft General Plan; transmit to CC with rec. on Circulation and Land Use Elements DATE ACTIVITY 10 04/30/91 CC/PC joint meeting on General Plan. 05/14/91 Begin CC hearing. Chapters 3 and 4; Resources Management and Hazard Management. - Open Space and Conservation Element - Air Quality Element - Noise Element - Safety Element 05/28/91 City Council hearing (continued). Chapter 2, Infrastructure and Community Services. - Circulation Element - Human Resources Element - Public Services, Facilities and Utilities Element - Parks and. Recreation Element 06/05/91 City Council Study Session. 0 - Sphere of Influence Request to LAFCO. 06/11/91 City Council hearing (continued). Chapter 1, Community Development. - Land Use Element - Housing Element - Community Design Element - Economic Development and Community Revitalization Element 06/25/91 City Council continued hearing. CLT:lkl:238 - Consider all unresolved items. - Finalize action, adopt plan. - 2 - I DATE 03/05/91 GENERAL PLAN ADOPTION PROPOSED SCHEDULE February 28, 1991 ACTIVITY P.C. continued hearing on General Plan. - Public Services, Facilities and Utilities Element - Preliminary overview and testimony on Land Use Element - Overview of Growth Management issues, relationship to General Plan 03/19/91 PC continued hearing on General Plan. - Land Use Element text - Economic Development and Community Revitalization Element PC hillside Study Session (tentative). 03/20/91 Open forum, Growth Management. (Staff Host) 03/28/91 PC public hearing. - Land Use Element, text and map - Ridgeline Preservation and Hillside Development Ordinance. 04/02/91 PC continued hearing on General Plan: - Consider unresolved/outstanding items - Finalize direction to staff on all elements except Land Use and Circulation 04/24/91 GPAC meeting to review Circulation and Land Use Elements with modelling results. 04/25/91 PC.continued public hearing. - Receive GPAC recommendation and finalize recommendation on Circulation and Land Use Elements - Finalize/confirm recommendations - All previously recommended changes incorporated into draft General Plan; transmit to CC with rec. on Circulation and Land Use Elements DATE ACTIVITY 04/30/91 CC/PC joint meeting.on General Plan. 05/14/91 Begin CC hearing. Chapters 3 and 4, Resources Management and Hazard Management. - Open Space and Conservation Element - Air Quality Element - Noise Element - Safety Element 05/28/91 City Council hearing (continued). Chapter 2, Infrastructure and Community Services. - Circulation Element ' - Human Resources Element - Public Services, Facilities and Utilities Element - Parks and Recreation Element 06/05/91 City Council Study Session. - Sphere of Influence Request to LAFCO. 06/11/91 City Council hearing (continued). Chapter 1, Community Development. - Land Use Element - Housing Element - Community Design Element - Economic Development and Community Revitalization Element 06/25/91 City Council continued hearing. - Consider all unresolved items. - Finalize action, adopt plan. CLT:lkl:238 - 2 -